

The regulatory landscape is volatile. Controls target magnets containing dysprosium, terbium, and samarium, but even products without these elements face increased scrutiny at customs. Export volumes have fluctuated sharply, and while some restrictions have been postponed, uncertainty remains the norm. The future of these controls will likely hinge on broader geopolitical developments and the state of China’s relations with the U.S. and EU.
What does this mean for companies? Magnet supply from China will remain unpredictable. Some supply chains may stabilize for the time being, but none will be safe from future disruptions. Unpredictability is structural, not temporal. The key to resilience is not just reacting to the latest policy, but building robust, transparent, and flexible supply strategies.
Drawing on years of on-the-ground experience and policy analysis, here are practical approaches companies can take—regardless of size or sector—to manage risk and secure their magnet supply.
Many companies underestimate their dependence on China because magnets often appear deep in the supply chain—at tier-3 or tier-4 supplier levels. These hidden dependencies may only surface when a disruption occurs, leaving little time to react.
Solution:
China's export controls are not random, they reflect specific geopolitical and domestic policy dynamics. Companies that monitor, analyze, and forecast these developments are better positioned to anticipate disruptions.
Solution:
Risks are not limited to tier-1 suppliers. Vulnerabilities can exist deep in the supply chain, and at the level of specific part numbers.
Solution:
Export controls affect different stages of the value chain in different ways. The classic “make-or-buy” decision matrix needs to be revisited.
Solution:
Chinese suppliers face their own risks and pressures. Building sustainable, trust-based relationships is essential, especially in times of crisis.
Solution:
Chinese regulations require extensive information disclosure from non-Chinese customers. Navigating this process efficiently is crucial.
Solution:
The supplier landscape is evolving rapidly. Ongoing monitoring and the ability to respond quickly to crises are vital.
Solution:
For large enterprises:
For mid-sized companies:
For small businesses:
China’s rare earth magnet export controls are here to stay, and volatility will remain a defining feature of the market. But with the right strategies—rooted in transparency, proactive risk management, and strong supplier relationships—companies can not only weather the storm, but emerge stronger and more resilient.
With deep expertise in both China's regulatory landscape and magnet manufacturing, Sinolytics and Berners Consulting uniquely translate complex export controls into practical sourcing strategies. Our combined on-the-ground supplier experience and policy intelligence enable companies to navigate uncertainty, secure compliant supply, and build long-term resilience in a structurally volatile market.
The path forward is not “China or no China,” but smart, managed dependency, balancing immediate needs with long-term diversification.
Want to learn more or discuss your specific challenges? Reach out to Sinolytics & Berners Consulting for tailored insights and support.